Forecasting and decomposition of portfolio credit risk using macroeconomic and frailty factors

Y Lee, SH Poon - Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2014 - Elsevier
This paper presents a dynamic portfolio credit model following the regulatory framework,
using macroeconomic and latent risk factors to predict the aggregate loan portfolio loss in a …

Modeling diversification and spillovers of loan portfolios' losses by LHP approximation and copula

Y Lee, K Yang - International Review of Financial Analysis, 2019 - Elsevier
This paper suggests a top-down method for aggregating the economic capital of an entire
banking system and decomposing it into loan sectors according to their risk contributions …

T-Vasicek credit portfolio loss distribution

JM Pimbley - The Journal of Structured Finance, 2018 - pm-research.com
We derive and discuss a new analytical credit loss distribution. This new model, T-Vasicek,
is a variant of the well-known and highly useful Vasicek distribution. We inject a t-distribution …

Risk Factors, Copula Dependence and Risk Sensitivity of a Large Portfolio

C Bruneau, A Flageollet, Z Peng - 2015 - shs.hal.science
In this paper, we propose a flexible tool to estimate the risk sensitivity of a high-dimensional
portfolio composed of different classes of assets, especially in extreme risk circumstances …

State dependent correlations in the Vasicek default model

A Metzler - Dependence Modeling, 2020 - degruyter.com
This paper incorporates state dependent correlations (those that vary systematically with the
state of the economy) into the Vasicek default model. Other approaches to randomizing …

Loan Portfolio Loss Models With More Flexible Asymmetry and Tails for Korean Banks and a Comparison of Their Regional Concentrations

Y Lee, SH Poon - Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 2015 - Taylor & Francis
This article extends the Vasicek model for the Gaussian single-factor portfolio loss
distribution to a skew-elliptical multifactor model and proposes loss models with more …

State-dependent Modeling of Default Rates

B Hu - 2021 - uwspace.uwaterloo.ca
Risk-weight function is the most popular formula for banking regulations used to calculate
the amount of backup deposit that banks need to hold in order to bear extraordinary losses …

Optimal look-back period for adequate and less procyclical credit capital forecasts

Y Lee, Y Cho, K Yang - Applied Economics, 2021 - Taylor & Francis
This study presents an approach to determining the optimal look-back period for adequate
and less procyclical credit capital requirement forecast of US commercial banking system …

The robustness of estimators in structural credit loss distributions

E Batiz-Zuk, GA Christodoulakis, SH Poon - Journal of Credit Risk, 2015 - papers.ssrn.com
Abstract This paper provides Monte Carlo results for the performance of the method of
moments (MM), maximum likelihood (ML) and ordinary least squares (OLS) estimators of the …

Valuation of initial margin and model risk

MB Seitshiro - 2020 - repository.nwu.ac.za
The research work of the thesis focuses on two themes: the valuation of initial margin and
model risk quantification. The first theme addresses matters arising from the valuation of …