Carry trades and currency crashes

MK Brunnermeier, S Nagel… - NBER macroeconomics …, 2008 - journals.uchicago.edu
This paper studies crash risk of currencies for funding‐constrained speculators in an attempt
to shed new light on the major currency puzzles. Our starting point is the currency carry …

Do peso problems explain the returns to the carry trade?

C Burnside, M Eichenbaum… - The Review of …, 2011 - academic.oup.com
We study the properties of the carry trade, a currency speculation strategy in which an
investor borrows low-interest-rate currencies and lends high-interest-rate currencies. This …

Countercyclical currency risk premia

H Lustig, N Roussanov, A Verdelhan - Journal of Financial Economics, 2014 - Elsevier
We describe a novel currency investment strategy, the 'dollar carry trade,'which delivers
large excess returns, uncorrelated with the returns on well-known carry trade strategies …

Crash-neutral currency carry trades

JW Jurek - Journal of Financial Economics, 2014 - Elsevier
Currency carry trades exploiting violations of uncovered interest rate parity in G10
currencies deliver significant excess returns with annualized Sharpe ratios equal to or …

The time-varying systematic risk of carry trade strategies

C Christiansen, A Ranaldo… - Journal of Financial and …, 2011 - cambridge.org
We explain the currency carry trade (CT) performance using an asset pricing model in which
factor loadings are regime dependent rather than constant. Empirical results show that a …

Crash risk in currency markets

E Farhi, SP Fraiberger, X Gabaix, R Ranciere… - 2009 - nber.org
Since the fall of 2008, option smiles have been clearly asymmetric: out-of-the-money
currency options point to large expected exchange rate depreciations (appreciations) for …

Currency carry trade regimes: Beyond the Fama regression

R Clarida, J Davis, N Pedersen - Journal of International Money and …, 2009 - Elsevier
We show that carry trade strategies resemble FX option strategies that sell out of the money
puts on high interest rate currencies. Both strategies collect premiums to generate persistent …

The carry trade and fundamentals: Nothing to fear but FEER itself

Ò Jordà, AM Taylor - Journal of International Economics, 2012 - Elsevier
Risky arbitraging based on interest rate differentials between two countries is typically
referred to as a carry trade. Up until the recent global financial crisis, these trades generated …

The carry trade: Risks and drawdowns

K Daniel, RJ Hodrick, Z Lu - 2014 - nber.org
We examine carry trade returns formed from the G10 currencies. Performance attributes
depend on the base currency. Dynamically spread-weighting and risk-rebalancing positions …

Global currency hedging with common risk factors

W Opie, SJ Riddiough - Journal of Financial Economics, 2020 - Elsevier
We develop a novel method to dynamically hedge foreign exchange exposure in
international equity and bond portfolios. The method exploits the time-series predictability of …